Intraday Trading : Experiments with Trading Models
  • Model State Machine

  • Automatically Estimating Parameters for the Simple Moving Average Model

  • Calculating Model Parameters from Minimum Points

    In these experiments a minimum band is found by looking over the past five trading days. When the stock falls to or below this minimum point and then turns around, a buy order is generated. As the results show, the model lost money doing paper trading. There are several problems. In some cases the stock never hit the low point, so there was no trading. In other cases the stock did hit the low point, but the limit order was hit and the stock was sold at a loss. This could be a result of setting the limit too close to the buy point.

    Most of these experiments were done with the "MACD Enhanced" smoothing function. This funtion has significant lag and this may also be a reason that the model did not work well.

    • Buying on the minimums, July 28, 2008

    • Buying on the minimums, July 29, 2008

    • Buying on the minimums, July 30, 2008

    • Buying on the minimums (S-L), July 31, 2008